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Gold Jumpy Ahead of Brexit Outcome, US Jobless Claims Dip

Unknown 10:22 AM Gold No comments

Gold has moved in both directions on Thursday, but has shown little net movement during the day. The metal is trading slightly above the level of $ 1260 the North American session. In the liberation front, the US numbers were a mixture. claims for US unemployment fell to 259,000 below expectations. However, sales of new homes fell 551,000 well below expectations. The highlight of today is the Brexit referendum in the UK.

Does the Staying field pull out a victory in the referendum Brexit? After a bitter and hard-fought campaign, millions of Britons are voting on whether the country remains in the EU or block outputs. Most polls show a race head to neck between fields remain and leave, so undecided voters are likely to swing the vote and determine the final result. However, there is a clear discrepancy between polls and the mood of the market, as market sentiment continues to lean towards a victory for the camp remain. This feeling has boosted the pound, which briefly broke above 1.49 on Thursday and is trading at its highest level in 2016. The Remain field has warned that a vote to leave the EU could damage the economy UK, while the "Leave" vote has tapped into voter dissatisfaction with Brussels, particularly in relation to immigration and over-regulation by the EU. The economic stakes are huge, as the UK economy 2.9 billion pounds, is the largest in the world fifth and number two in Europe, after Germany. A vote to leave the comfort zone of the EU would be a journey into the unknown, with unpredictable economic and political consequences for the UK and the European Union. If the field Stay reign victorious, gold prices could fall as the market's appetite for risk will increase, which could be detrimental to gold as a safe haven.

Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen sounded cautious in his testimony on the US economy when he appeared before Congress this week. As expected, Yellen did not provide any clues about future rate hikes. She acknowledged that the US economy could face adversity, saying that "[c] onsiderable uncertainty about the economic outlook remains". Yellen said she is "hopeful that we will see a rebound in growth", but skeptics might respond that the markets want to see the Fed action and not just wait. The Fed was clearly out of sync with the markets, as highlighted by the statements by the Fed in December that could raise rates four times in 2016. Meanwhile, we are here in June, and there are clear indications that the Fed will raise rates throughout the year. In his testimony, Yellen said he does not expect the US economy to enter a recession, but if there was such a scenario, the US not follow Europe and Japan and adopt negative interest rates. On a more positive note, Yellen said weak oil prices, low interest rates and stronger wage growth should support consumer spending.

/ USD XAU Basics
Thursday (June 23)

8:30 jobless claims US. 271K estimate. 259K Real
US Flash Manufacturing PMI 9:45. 50.5 estimate. 51.4 reais
10:00 US Sales new home. 561K estimate. 551K Real
10:00 US Leading Index CB. 0.2% estimate. Real -0.2%
10:30 US Natural Gas Storage. 59B estimate. Real 62B
Upcoming key events
Friday (June 24)

8:30 US Core Durable Goods Orders. Estimate 0.1%
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Thursday June 23, 2016

Gold Inches Higher as US Jobless Claims Rise as Expected

Unknown 10:21 AM Gold No comments

Gold prices has posted small gains on Thursday, erasing the losses seen in the Tuesday session. Gold is trading at a spot price of $1319 per ounce in the North American session. On the release front, Unemployment Claims climbed to 267 thousand, within expectations. As well, Chicago PMI jumped to 56.8 points, well above expectations. On Friday, the US manufacturing sector will be in focus, with the US release of ISM Manufacturing PMI.

With all the excitement over Brexit, the Federal Reserve has been on the back-burner. That could change next week, as we’ll hear from Fed Chair Janet Yellen on Monday, who will speak in Philadelphia. Will she provide some clues about a rate move? Yellen and her colleagues have sounded cautious about the US economy, and unless we see stronger employment and inflation numbers in the second half of 2016, the Fed may stand pat until 2017. Gone are the heady days of last December, when the Fed hiked rates and hinted that there was more to come in 2016, perhaps as many as four hikes. Bottom line? Traders shouldn’t count on a rate hike to boost the US dollar; rather the direction of the currency will largely be data-dependent – stronger US numbers should translate into gains for the greenback against its rivals.

One of the big winners of the Brexit referendum has been gold, as financial markets dropped sharply after the stunning news that Britain had voted to exit the European Union. Gold took full advantage of the chaos, surging a remarkable 7.1 percent immediately after the Brexit vote. The metal has given up a bit of ground this week, as market sentiment has improved as the dust begins to settle from the shock of Brexit. Gold has enjoyed a stellar month of June, gaining some 8.8% in value and trading comfortably above the $1300 level.

Brexit has ushered in a period of instability and uncertainty across the continent, with Brexit seemingly the only certainty one can point to. The vote to leave the EU is causing deep instability in Europe and the UK and wiped out a staggering $3 trillion from global stock markets. As the dust has begun to settle, the financial markets have stabilized. The pound plunged as much as 11 percent in the aftermath of the vote but has stabilized over the past few days. Still, political leaders on both sides of the Channel will have to pick up the pieces and deal with the radical new landscape, which was unthinkable just a few months ago – that of a European Union without Britain. The Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne and Bank of England Governor Mark Charney have sought to reassure the markets and the public that the situation is under control, but is it? The political picture is fluid, as the Conservatives are looking for a new leader, the Labor Party is in turmoil and general elections are likely later in the year. On the financial front, the pound and the markets have taken a beating and London’s position as a world financial center has been shaken. The uncertainty is not going to disappear anytime soon, so traders can expect further volatility in the currency and commodity markets.

British Prime Minister Cameron, a staunch supporter of the EU, finds himself in the unenviable position of explaining the Brexit decision to fuming Europeans. Cameron arrived in Brussels for an EU Summit on Tuesday and the meeting was fraught with tension, dismay and anger. Clearly, the “divorce of the “century” between Britain and the EU could be rancorous and messy. Cameron has asked for time to prepare Britain’s exit and wants to renew “productive” relations with Europe. However, the Europeans are in no mood for hugs and kisses on both cheeks. German Chancellor Merkel said that the UK could not “cherry pick” and that a relationship with Europe entailed obligations and not just rights – in other words, the Europeans are rejecting “half membership”. As well, Europe wants Britain to exit as soon as possible, in order to minimize the uncertainty and instability caused by the Brexit vote. French President Hollande went on the attack, saying that London should no longer remain a center for clearing euro trades. This market is worth trillions of euros in currency and derivative deals and such a move would be a severe blow to London’s financial sector. Already, the European Banking Authority has announced it is leaving London and moving to Paris or Frankfurt. In a strictly legal sense, Britain is still a member of the EU club, but politically, it is out (British EU Commissioner Jonathan Hill resigned after the Brexit vote). The markets are allergic to uncertainty, so Britain’s unclear status within the EU could cause further volatility on the financial markets and boost gold prices.

XAU/USD Fundamentals
Thursday (June 30)

8:30 US Unemployment Claims. Estimate 267K. Actual 268K
9:45 US Chicago PMI. Estimate 50.6. Actual 56.8
10:30 US Natural Gas Storage. Estimate 48B. Actual 37B
13:30 US FOMC James Bullard Speaks

Upcoming Key Events
Friday (July 1)

14:00 US ISM Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 51.3

*Key releases are highlighted in bold
*All release times are EDT

XAU/USD for Thursday, June 30, 2016

XAU/USD – Gold Gains Ground on Dismal Housing Report

Unknown 10:19 AM Gold No comments

Gold prices posted gains on Wednesday, erasing losses observed in Tuesday's session. Gold is trading at a cash price of $ 1,324 per ounce in the North American session. In the liberation front, pending home sales fell 3.7%, much worse than expected. US personal spending recorded a gain of 0.4%, matching the forecast. On Thursday, US releases jobless claims.

Gold has risen again, driven by poor release of pending home sales. The key indicator fell 3.7%, compared with the estimate of -0.9%. It was the biggest drop since December 2014, raising concerns about the strength of the important housing sector. Economic growth this year has slipped compared to 2015, but it was not good news, as the final GDP for the first quarter was revised upwards. The indicator recorded a gain of 1.1%, above the estimate of 1.0%. This reading was stronger than the preliminary reading of 0.8% of GDP. On the consumer front, Consumer Confidence impressed by climbing to 98.0 points, easily beating the forecast of 93.2 points. It is strengthening consumer confidence in the United States? It is not clear, as UoM Consumer Sentiment last week fell to 93.4 points and reached expectations. On Wednesday, US personal spending was lukewarm, gaining 0.4% against 1.0% the previous month.

One of the big winners of the Brexit consultation has been the gold as financial markets fell sharply after the surprising news that Britain had voted to leave the European Union. Gold took advantage of the chaos emerged a remarkable 7.1 percent on Friday. The metal has given some ground this week as market sentiment has improved as the dust begins to settle from the shock of Brexit. Gold has enjoyed a stellar month of June to earn some 8.8% in value and trading comfortably above the level of $ 1,300.

In the aftermath of the Brexit vote continues to reverberate in the UK and Europe, political leaders must now pick up the pieces and deal with the new radical scenario that was unthinkable a few months ago only - that of a European Union without Britain. The historic decision raises many questions and has led to political and economic instability in Europe and the UK, and finished with a staggering $ 3 trillion from global stock markets. The pound has fallen 10 percent since the vote, the Minister of Economy, George Osborne, and Governor of the Bank of England Mark Charney have tried to reassure the markets and the public that the situation is under control, but it is ? The political situation is fluid in Britain, with Prime Minister Cameron resign, the Labour Party in turmoil, and the general elections likely later this year. In the financial sphere, the pound and the markets have taken a beating, and London's position as a global financial center has been shaken. The uncertainty will not disappear in the short term, so traders should be prepared for greater volatility in currency markets and commodities.

The first Cameron, a strong supporter of the EU, British Prime Minister is in the unenviable position of explaining the decision to Brexit European fuming. Cameron arrived in Brussels for an EU summit on Tuesday and the meeting was fraught with tension, dismay and anger. Clearly, the "divorce" century "between Britain and the EU could be spiteful and messy. Cameron has asked for more time to prepare for departure from Britain and wants to renew relations" productive "with Europe. However, European are in no mood for hugs and kisses on both cheeks German Chancellor Merkel said the UK could not "cherry pick" and that a relationship with Europe entails obligations and not only rights -. in other words, Europeans are rejecting "half members." Furthermore, Europe wants Britain to leave as soon as possible in order to minimize uncertainty and instability caused by the vote Brexit. French President Hollande wasted no time in go on the attack, saying that London should no longer remain a center of operations for cleaning euros. this market is worth billions of euros in foreign exchange and derivatives and offers of this measure would be a blow to the financial sector in London . Already, the European Banking Authority has announced that leave London and move to Paris or Frankfurt.

/ USD XAU Basics
On Wednesday (June 29)

8:30 Price Index US PCE Core. 0.2% estimate. Current 0.2%
8:30 Personal Spending United States. 0.4% estimate. Current 0.4%
8:30 Personal Income United States. 0.3% estimate. Current 0.2%
Sales 10:00 United States still homeless. -0.9% Estimate. Real -3.7%
10:30 oil inventories US. -2.3M Estimate. Real -4.1M
16:30 US Bank stress tests
Upcoming key events
Thursday (June 30)

Unemployment Claims 12:30 US. 267K estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Gold Dips as US GDP, Consumer Confidence Beats Estimate

Unknown 10:16 AM Gold No comments

Gold prices have fallen on Tuesday, following the trend observed in Tuesday's session. Gold is trading at a cash price of $ 1,313.91 per ounce in the North American session. On the front of liberation, USA Final GDP recorded a gain of 1.1%, within expectations. The report Consumer Confidence improved to 98.0 points, well above the estimate.

Gold has become a big winner on Friday Brexit consultation, as financial markets fell sharply after the surprising news that Britain had voted to leave the European Union. Gold took advantage of the chaos emerged a remarkable 7.1 percent on Friday. The metal has given some ground this week as market sentiment has improved as the dust begins to settle from the shock of Brexit. Gold fell on Tuesday, as the US GDP was revised upwards and a key consumer report exceeded expectations. Final GDP for the first quarter recorded a gain of 1.1%, above the estimate of 1.0%. This reading was stronger than the preliminary reading of 0.8% of GDP. Despite the upward revision was good news, the revised GDP report marked the weakest gain in a year. On the consumer front, Consumer Confidence impressed by climbing to 98.0 points, easily beating the forecast of 93.2 points. It is strengthening consumer confidence in the United States? It is not clear, as UoM Consumer Sentiment last week fell to 93.4 points and reached expectations. Consumer confidence is closely linked to consumer spending, and we will take a look at Personal Spending on Wednesday.

In the aftermath of the Brexit vote continues to reverberate in the UK and Europe, political leaders must now pick up the pieces and deal with the new radical scenario that was unthinkable a few months ago only - that of a European Union without Britain. The historic decision raises many questions and has led to political and economic instability in Europe and the UK, and finished with a staggering $ 3 trillion from global stock markets. The pound has fallen 11 percent since the vote, and the Australian dollar took a hit as well, as investors dumped risky assets in favor of safer like gold and the Japanese yen assets. Finance Minister George Osborne and Bank of England Governor Mark Charney have tried to reassure the markets and the public that the situation is under control, but what is? The political situation is fluid, with Prime Minister Cameron resign, the Labour Party in turmoil, and the general elections likely later this year. In the financial sphere, the pound and the markets have taken a beating, and London's position as a global financial center has been shaken. The uncertainty will not disappear in the short term, so traders should be prepared for greater volatility in currency markets.

The British Prime Minister Cameron meets with his EU counterparts in Brussels for a summit of two days, and there are already signs that this divorce between Britain and the EU could be spiteful and messy. Cameron said Monday that his successor would be the one to initiate the exit mechanism, and other British politicians have said that there is no hurry to leave. However, European legislators, furious with the decision, have asked Britain to leave as soon as possible. Britain could have voted "Stop", but it is clear that the time and type of exit plan remain unclear. The future framework of political and economic relations between the UK and the continent will have to be negotiated, and we will see a lot of uncertainty and perhaps fireworks in the coming months.

/ USD XAU Basics
Tuesday (June 28)

8:30 US Final GDP. 1.0% estimate. Real 1.1%
8:30 US Index Final GDP price. 0.6% estimate. Current 0.4%
9:00 S & P / CS Composite-20 HPI. 5.5% estimate. 5.4%
CB Consumer Confidence 10:00. 93.2 estimate. 98.0 reais
Richmond Manufacturing Index 10:00 US. Estimate 2 points. -7 Real points
19:00 US FOMC member Jerome Powell Speaks
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Tuesday June 28, 2016

XAU/USD – Gold Climbs as Bank of England Says Rate Cut Coming

Unknown 10:14 AM Gold No comments

Gold has posted gains on Friday, continuing the upward movement that marked the session on Thursday. The metal was trading at $ 1,332 per ounce. In the liberation front, the highlight of today's ISM Manufacturing PMI. It is expected to remain unchanged indicator 51.3 points.

Aftershocks following Brexit continued on Thursday as the Bank of England Mark Carney said a rate cut was imminent. Carney did not mince words in a speech on Thursday, saying that in his opinion "the economic outlook has deteriorated and it is likely that some relaxation of monetary policy is required during the summer." Given the financial turmoil caused by Brexit, markets expected a rate cut in the coming months, but the strong comments Carney market sentiment deteriorated. The pound reacted negatively, as the GBP / USD fell 120 points. As expected, the pound loss after Carney's comments have been earning gold, as lower interest rates make gold more attractive. Gold has risen 1.2% since Wednesday. The metal has been one of the big winners of the Brexit consultation, and enjoyed a spectacular rise in June of 8.6 percent. With the uncertainty in commodity markets and ongoing currency, the gold rally could continue until next week.

With financial markets focused on the impressive vote Brexit understandably, the Federal Reserve and future currency movements have passed into the background. That could change next week as Fed Chairman Janet Yellen will deliver a speech in Philadelphia. You will need to provide some clue about a movement of rates? Yellen and her colleagues have sounded cautious about the US economy, and unless we see employment figures and stronger inflation in the second half of 2016, the Fed may remain on the sidelines until 2017. Gone are the heady days last December, when the Fed raised rates and hinted that there was more to come in 2016, maybe even four increases. In a nutshell? Traders should not expect an increase of imminent rate to boost the US dollar; rather, the direction of the currency will be largely dependent data - the Fed is unlikely to budge unless we see employment figures and significantly improved inflation.

It has been exactly one week since the historic referendum that saw the British electorate vote to leave the EU after 40 years. Brexit The vote to leave the EU has caused profound instability in Europe and the UK and finish with a staggering $ 3 trillion from global stock markets. As the dust has begun to settle, however, financial markets have stabilized. The pound plummeted to 11 percent in the aftermath of the vote, but has stabilized in recent days. However, political leaders from both sides of the Canal will have to pick up the pieces and deal with the new radical scenario that was unthinkable only a few months ago - that of a European Union without the United Kingdom. British politics have tried to calm public opinion and the markets, but sharp fall in the pound on Thursday stressed that the situation is anything but normal. the political image of the country is fluid, as the Conservatives are choosing a new leader, the Working Group is in crisis and elections can not be far behind. In the financial sphere, the pound and the markets have taken a beating and London's position as a global financial center has been shaken. The uncertainty will not disappear in the short term, so that operators can expect more volatility in the currency markets.

The British Prime Minister Cameron was in the unenviable position of fuming meeting with European leaders at the EU summit this week. Cameron asked for time to prepare for departure from Britain and wants to renew the "productive" relations with Europe. However, Europeans are in no mood for hugs and kisses on both cheeks, and the "divorce" century "between Britain and the EU could be spiteful and messy. German Chancellor Merkel said that the UK does not could "cherry pick" and that a relationship with Europe entails obligations and not only rights -. in other words, Europeans are rejecting "half members" Europe also wants Britain to leave as soon as possible, with in order to minimize uncertainty and instability caused by the vote Brexit. French President Hollande wasted no time going on the attack, saying that London should no longer remain a center of operations for cleaning euros. This market it is worth billion in foreign exchange and derivatives and offers of this measure would be a blow to the financial sector in London. Now, the European Banking Authority has announced that leave London and move to Paris or Frankfurt. In a strictly legal sense, Britain remains a member of the EU club, but politically, is persona non grata (British EU Commissioner Jonathan Hill resigned shortly after the Brexit vote). Markets are allergic to uncertainty, so it is not clear the state of Britain in the EU could boost gold prices.

/ USD XAU Basics
Friday (July 1)

9:45 US Final Manufacturing PMI. 51.4 estimate
10:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI. 51.3 estimate
10:00 spending on US construction. Estimate 0.6%
10:00 ISM manufacturing prices. 63.9 estimate
All day - US vehicle sales in total. estimated 17.3 million
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Friday July 1, 2016

Gold Inches Higher, Markets Eye Fed Minutes

Unknown 10:12 AM Gold No comments

Gold has posted small gains on Tuesday following gains that have marked Monday's session. Gold is trading at a cash price of $ 1,355 per ounce in the North American session. In the liberation front, no major US events on the calendar. Factory orders fell 1.0%, the first decline in three months. In turn, the IBD / TIPP economic optimism fell to 45.5 points, the absence of the forecast 49.3. This reading points to ongoing pessimism among American consumers. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its June policy meeting.

Gold continues to impress, and hit a high of $ 1,357 on Monday, near its highest level in two years. Gold has been one of the big winners of the Brexit consultation, as financial markets fell sharply after the surprising news that Britain had voted to leave the European Union. Gold advantage of the chaos, arising a remarkable 7.1 percent immediately after Brexit vote. In June, the metal rose some 8.8 percent, and the continuing uncertainty in the markets could mean that gold prices will continue to move upward.

The vote Brexit to leave the European Union is having global ramifications and finished with a staggering $ 3 trillion from equity markets. nervous investors are turning to safer as gold and the Japanese yen, at the expense of riskier assets assets. The pound, which has shed 11 percent since the vote, recorded heavy losses on Tuesday and is trading at 31-year lows. British politicians have tried to calm public opinion and the markets, but the free fall of the pound stressed that the situation is anything but normal. political situation the country is in the process of change, as the Conservatives are choosing a new leader to replace Prime Minister Cameron and elections can go ahead in the year. In the financial sphere, the pound has taken a beating and London's position as a global financial center could be in danger. Last week, the normally even-keeled governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, was surprisingly strong, indicating that the Bank of England planned to lower interest rates during the summer, and this only pressure on the battered sector added financial UK.

Britain could have voted "out", but there is no timetable for when the output will be held or what kind of trade agreement will define the new economic relationship between the EU and Britain. British leaders are in no hurry to leave, but European leaders have called for Britain to leave as soon as possible in order to minimize uncertainty and instability caused by the vote Brexit. When it comes to the EU, Britain is in limbo ( "neither in nor out"), and political and economic instability triggered by Brexit could continue to weigh on the currency markets and raw materials for the foreseeable future materials.

market focus on whether the Fed could raise rates understandably has moved into the background as the vote Brexit in late June. The historic referendum has had economic repercussions worldwide, including the US .. What will be the effect on monetary policy Brexit? It may be too early too say, but some analysts are forecasting that the Fed could change its monetary stance and lower rates made this year. Markets will be very interested in the minutes of the Fed, which will be released on Wednesday, despite that preceded the vote Brexit. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen and her colleagues have sounded cautious about the US economy and financial instability caused by Brexit could delay any rate hikes until 2017. The US economy is in good shape, but the Fed has not raised rates since last December and is unlikely to seriously consider rate hikes unless the employment and inflation figures point upwards.

/ USD XAU Basics
Tuesday (5 July)

10:00 Factory orders in the United States. -0.8% Estimate. Real -1.0%
10:00 IBD / TIPP economic optimism. 49.3 estimate. 45.5 reais
14:30 US FOMC Member Dudley Speaks William
Upcoming key events
On Wednesday (July 6)

10:00 ISM non-manufacturing PMI. 53.3 estimate
14:00 US Minutes of FOMC meeting
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Tuesday July 5, 2016

Gold Loses Ground as US Job Numbers Impress Markets

Unknown 10:09 AM Gold No comments

Gold is lower on Thursday, after four straight winning sessions. Gold is trading at a cash price of $ 1,361.13 per ounce in trading in North America. There was no positive news on the front of ADP nonfarm employment change in employment and unemployment claims both exceeded expectations. On Friday, let's take a look at the important Nonfarm Employment Change, waiting with a strong turnaround after the surprise May only 38 thousand markets. The estimate is in 174,000.

Gold prices remain strong, as a safe haven has become a magnet for nervous investors. The metal hit a high of $ 1.375 on Tuesday, marking its highest level since March 2014. Gold has been one of the big winners of the Brexit consultation, as financial markets are betting on a victory remain and were completely surprised by the vote Brexit leave the European Union. Gold has taken full advantage of the chaos, posting strong gains of 8.8 percent in June and continued upward movement in July. Instability and uncertainty surrounding Brexit means that gold prices could continue to rise, and highly respected UBS said that gold has begun an uptrend and reach the level of $ 1400 short term.

The Federal Reserve released the minutes of its June policy meeting, Wednesday. Politicians expressed concerns about a slowdown and hiring and health of the US economy, and the underlying tone was one of prudence and caution. The June meeting took place just a week before Britain voted to leave the EU, which has caused turmoil in the markets and bond yields to historic lows is sent. The minutes show that Fed members projects two rate hikes before year-end, but the prognosis is likely out of date following the shockwaves of Brexit. Given the current economic climate, markets are pessimistic about rates movements before 2017. Investors have discounted any possibility of a rate hike at the next Fed meeting on July 26-27 and only a probability of a hike eight percent in 2016. However, if the number of jobs and US inflation improved in the second half of the year, the probability of a rate hike will certainly increase.

Fed Chairman Janet Yellen and his colleagues continue to sound cautious about the US economy and financial instability caused by Brexit could delay any rate hikes until 2017. The US economy is in good shape, but the Fed has not raised rates since last December and is unlikely to seriously consider rate hikes unless the employment and inflation figures point upwards. Although Brexit Yellen said recently that would have an impact in the US, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco John Williams seemed to agree with that assessment. On Tuesday, Williams said the US markets had reacted to Brexit as expected, and the impact on the US economy would be much smaller than the euro crisis 2011-2012. Brexit is having an impact on the monetary policy stance of the Fed? We can get an answer to that question when the Fed meets again for a July policy meeting. 26 to 27

/ USD XAU Basics
Thursday (July 7)

7:30 The US courts Challenger job. Real -14.1%
8:15 US ADP non-farm employment change. 158K estimate. Real 172K
8:30 jobless claims US. 269K estimate. 254K Real
10:30 US Natural Gas Storage. Estimation 42B. Real 39B
11:00 oil inventories US. -2.1M Estimate. Real -2.2M
Upcoming key events

Friday (July 8)

8:30 US hourly wages. Estimate 0.2%
8:30 US Nonfarm Employment Change. 174K estimate
8:30 Unemployment Rate US. Estimate 4.8%
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Thursday July 7, 2016

XAU/USD – Gold Stems Losses as Markets Fret Over Brexit, BoE Rate Decision

Unknown 10:07 AM Gold No comments

Gold has reversed directions and moved higher on Wednesday, after heavy losses in the last two sessions. The metal was trading at $ 1343.58 in trade in North America. In the liberation front, crude oil inventories were -2.5 million weaker than the estimate of -2.3 million. Import prices United States recorded a weak gain of 0.2%, well below expectations. On Thursday, US will unveil two key indicators - Claims PPI and unemployment.

Gold is higher on Wednesday, rising above the level of $ 1,340. British Prime Minister David Cameron, retired early in the day and was replaced by Theresa May. While this has brought some much-needed political stability in Britain the leadership change occurred much faster than expected, meaning that the tough negotiations and disorderly on divorce Brexit begin sooner than expected. The Home Secretary, Theresa May, has assumed the position of prime minister. May was a strong supporter of the field remain, but now entrusted to preside over the departure of Britain from the European Union. Mayo has declared that the government has every intention to honor the referendum, saying that "Brexit means Brexit". The British electorate may have voted "Leave", but the vote can be the easiest part of the process. A member of the EU has never invoked the exit clause before, and there is no timetable for when the output or what kind of trade agreement will occur will define the new economic relationship between the EU and Britain. In turn, the Bank of England is about to cut interest rates for the first time since 2009, and such a measure could have a strong impact on the markets. It is expected that the Bank of England cut rates in order to tackle an economic crisis in Britain because Brexit. At the same time, the head of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, who appeared before a parliamentary committee on Tuesday, acknowledged that Brexit could lead to the collapse of the economy and the measures that the central bank was taking in response not provide a "magic bullet" against Brexit.

Already in December last year when the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in nine years, there were high hopes that the Federal Reserve could continue with a series of hikes in 2016. Fast forward to July, and the Fed it is yet to make a move this year, as the US economy has not matched its impressive growth rates in 2015 of the last week Fed minutes reinforced the perception that the Fed is unlikely to tighten policy in the short term, as the Fed remains cautious attempt on the strength of the US economy. Although some members of the Fed have said that rates could rise up twice in 2016, it is clear that markets are not buying. Given the current economic climate, markets are pessimistic about rates movements before 2017. Investors have discounted any possibility of a rate hike at the next Fed meeting on July 26-27 and only a probability of a hike eight percent in 2016. even so, market sentiment can change very quickly, so if the number of jobs and US inflation improved in the second half of the year, the probability of a rate hike this year it will increase.

/ USD XAU Basics
On Wednesday (July 13)

8:30 US prices import. 0.6% estimate. Current 0.2%
10:30 oil inventories US. -2.3M Estimate. Real -2.5M
13:01 US auction of 30-year bonds
14:00 US Beige Book
14:00 balance the federal budget in the United States. estimate 24.2B
Thursday (July 14)

8:30 PPI. Estimate 0.3%
8:30 jobless claims US. 263K estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Gold Drops to New July Lows as US Numbers Improve, BoE Stands Pat

Unknown 10:05 AM Gold No comments

Gold has invested arrive on Thursday and resumed downward movement. In the North American session, the metal was trading at $ 1329.30. In the US, jobless claims remained at 254 thousand, exceeding expectations. There was more good news on the inflation front, as the producer price index rose 0.5 percent, exceeding the estimate. Again in the UK, the Bank of England surprised markets and keeps interest rates at 0.50 percent. Friday is heavy data such as the US releases consumer inflation, retail sales and consumer confidence reports.

the numbers of the United States looked sharp on Thursday. Inflation showed some strength, as PPI rose 0.5 percent, ahead of the estimated 0.3 percent. This marked the highest monthly increase since May 2015. Core PPI did the same with a gain of 0.4 percent, exceeding the forecast of 0.1 percent. Regarding employment, jobless claims remained at 254 thousand, below the estimate of 263,000. It is inflation in the US move? Let's take a look at the CPI numbers on Friday, and a solid release could boost the US dollar.

The drama continues in Britain in the financial and political scenarios. Markets had widely expected a quarter point cut by the Bank of England, which would have marked the first rate cut from the Bank of England since July 2009. Mark Carney had hinted in motion when he recently said that economic conditions had deteriorated and the Bank of England would have to lower low in the summer, but Carney has evidently decided to wait. Gold prices are closely linked to interest rates, and the metal lost ground when the expected rate cut failed to materialize. Financial markets are expecting the Bank of England to cushion the economic slowdown expected in Britain because Brexit, and is even talk of a recession. However, there tended economic data about the effects of Brexit in the economy and will not be available before September. Testifying before a parliamentary committee on Tuesday, the governor of the Bank of England Carney acknowledged that Brexit could lead to the collapse of the economy and the measures that the central bank was taking in response not provide a "magic bullet" against Brexit.

On the political front in Britain, developments are developing rapidly. On Wednesday, Theresa May replaced David Cameron as prime minister. May was a strong supporter of the field remain, but now entrusted to preside over the departure of Britain from the European Union. May said the government has every intention of honoring the referendum, emphatically stating this week that "Brexit means Brexit". However, the output of Britain could be a complicated and lengthy affair, especially as Boris Johnson has called in May, the camp leader "Stop" as chancellor. The British electorate may have voted to leave the EU, but the vote can be the easiest part of the process. A member of the EU has never invoked the exit clause before, and there is no timetable for when the output or what kind of trade agreement will occur will define the new economic relationship between the EU and Britain. The vote Brexit leave the EU in late June it has caused political and financial turmoil in Britain and boosted gold as nervous investors have taken the merchandise safe haven. Still, there is some optimism in the air when the political situation has stabilized much faster than expected, as the Conservatives were not expected to choose a successor to Cameron before October.

/ USD XAU Basics
Thursday (July 14)

8:30 PPI. 0.3% estimate. Current 0.5%
8:30 jobless claims US. 263K estimate. 254K Real
Core PPI 8:30. 0.1% estimate. Current 0.4%
10:30 US Natural Gas Storage. 61B estimate. Real 64B
Upcoming key events
Friday (July 15)

8:30 US CPI. Estimate 0.2%
8:30 The US core CPI. Estimate 0.2%
8:30 US retail sales. Estimate 0.4%
8:30 Retail Sales US Core. Estimate 0.1%
10:00 US sentiment Unit of measure preliminary consumer. 93.7 estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Thursday July 14, 2016

Gold Shows Gains Ahead of Federal Reserve Statement

Unknown 9:59 AM Gold No comments

Gold has rallied on Wednesday as mechanics at a price of $ 1,326.45 cash per ounce in the North American session industries. In the liberation front, the US economic indicators disappointed, as orders for durable goods and durable goods orders both have experienced reductions. In turn, the pending home sales showed a small increase of 0.2%, well below expectations. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve will conclude its meeting and issue a policy statement. On Thursday, US will release unemployment claims.

We could see some volatility in gold prices ahead of policy statements of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. The Fed is not expected to raise the current benchmark rate of 0.25%, so the markets focus on the policy statement is provided, for clues about a possible rise later in the year. Markets have priced in a 51% chance of a rate hike before year-end, but that could quickly fall if the Fed sends a message pessimistic markets. The previous policy statement Brexit preceded the voting for only a week, so it will be interesting to see what the Fed has to say about the British decision to leave the European Union. US solid numbers in recent weeks has fueled speculation about a possible rise in interest rates, although it is very unlikely that the Fed will make a move at Wednesday's meeting. Although the US economy is in good shape, the fly in the ointment is inflation, which remains mired at low levels, well below the target of 2 percent of the Fed. The Fed dare to raise rates if inflation is not projected to point upwards.

US numbers have been strong in recent weeks, so the soft durable goods reports Wednesday caught markets by surprise. Core Durable Goods Orders stood at -0.5%, well below the forecast of 0.3%. There was no relief orders for durable goods products, which recorded a sharp gain of 4.0%, compared with a forecast of -1.1%. This marked the weakest reading in 2016. There was no more disappointing news on the housing front as pending home sales rose 0.2%, well below the estimate of 1.9%.

The Bank of Japan has been under strong pressure to adopt further easing measures, but does it have any monetary ammunition left? Interest rates are already at zero, and the economy continues to struggle with deflation. Other options available for the bank include the amount or extending flexible quality. The Bank of Japan will issue a policy statement Thursday night, and it is unclear whether the bank will take additional easing measures.

/ USD XAU Basics
On Wednesday (July 27)

8:30 US Core Durable Goods Orders. 0.3% estimate. Real -0.5%
8:30 US Durable Goods Orders. -1.1% Estimate. Real -4.0%
Sales 10:00 United States still homeless. 1.9% estimate. Current 0.2%
10:30 oil inventories US. -2.1M Estimate. Real + 1.7M
Declaration 14:00 US FOMC
14:00 federal funds rate in the United States. Estimation <0.50%
Upcoming key events
Thursday (July 28)

8:30 jobless claims US. 261K estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Wednesday, July 27, 2016

XAU/USD – Gold Drops, US Jobless Claims Disappoint

Unknown 9:57 AM Gold No comments

Gold has dipped lower on Thursday, as the metal industries at a price of $ 1,333.26 cash per ounce in the North American session. In the liberation front, jobless claims rose to 266,000 more than the estimate of 261,000. On Friday, US Advance GDP publish, waiting with strong growth of 2.6% markets. We will also take a look at UoM consumer sentiment, which is expected to drop to 90.3 points.

Gold prices rose 1.5 percent on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve kept the margin at its policy meeting. The bank continued to maintain the course of interest rates, maintaining levels of 0.25% in a vote 9-1. The Fed statement was optimistic, saying that risks to the economy have receded and the labor market are shrinking. The Fed added that it continues to monitor the levels of inflation and said the housing sector had improved. The Fed will make a move and raise rates in September? It seems that the Fed could go either way, and politicians will make a decision at the meeting of September according to the strength of the US data. This means that the numbers of key US, as the advance GDP report on Friday, will be under the microscope market and unexpected readings could lead to a sharp volatility in currency markets.

We could see some volatility further gold after the policy meeting the Bank of Japan on Thursday. The Bank of Japan has been under strong pressure to adopt further easing measures, but does it have any monetary ammunition left? Interest rates are already at zero, and the economy continues to struggle with deflation. Other options available for the bank include the amount or extending flexible quality. The Bank of Japan will issue a policy statement at the conclusion of the meeting, and it is unclear whether the bank will take additional easing measures. If the bank does make a move, we could see gold prices move higher.

/ USD XAU Basics
Thursday (July 28)

8:30 jobless claims US. 261K estimate. 266K Real
10:30 US Natural Gas Storage. Estimation 29B. Real 17B
Upcoming key events
Friday (July 29)

8:30 Advance US GDP. Estimate 2.6%
10:00 US revised Consumer Sentiment UM. 90.2 estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Thursday July 28, 2016

Gold Edges Higher as US Manufacturing, Construction Numbers Disappoint

Unknown 9:51 AM Gold Edges No comments

Gold has recorded small gains on Monday, as the metal industries at a price of $ 1,352.27 cash per ounce in the North American session. On the front release, ISM Manufacturing PMI stood at 52.6 points, below expectations. In turn, construction spending and manufacturing prices also lost their estimates.

Gold prices rose 2.0 percent last week, boosted by the announcement of the Federal Reserve and weak GDP report. The Fed continued to maintain the course of interest rates, maintaining levels at 0.25%. September hike is possible, but the Fed will want to see the strongest numbers before making a move. On Sunday, the FOMC William Dudley, a close ally of Janet Yellen, said the fallout Brexit posed a risk to the US economy and urged the Fed to proceed with caution before raising interest rates. The USA. will release the growth of wages and nonfarm payrolls later in the week, and these key employment figures will be closely monitored by the Fed as it ponders a possible rate hike. If these releases do not meet expectations, the probability of a move in September will decline drastically. Preliminary GDP for the second quarter disappointed, as markets had expected a strong gain of 2.6%, while the economy responded with a much smaller gain of 1.2%.

The week started with some soft pitches, helping gold remain at the level of $ 1,350. Manufacturing ISM manufacturing PMI and prices pointed to expansion, but both lost their estimates. At the same time, prices of Construction disappointed with a drop of 0.6%, its fourth decline in the past five months. These figures indicate that there is weakness in the manufacturing and construction continued.

/ USD XAU Basics
Domingo (July 31)

21:15 FOMC Member Dudley Speaks William
Monday (August 1)

9:45 US Final Manufacturing PMI. 52.9 estimate. actual 52.9
10:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI. 53.1 estimate. 52.6 reais
10:00 spending on US construction. 0.5% estimate. Real -0.6%
10:00 ISM manufacturing prices. 61.0 estimate. actual 55.0
Tentative - Official US loan Survey
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD on Monday August 1, 2016

XAU/USD – Gold Climbs to 3-Week Highs as Appetite for Risk Wanes

Unknown 9:48 AM Gold Climbs No comments

Gold has posted strong gains on Tuesday, as the metal industries at a price of $ 1,365.30 cash per ounce in the North American session. On the front of liberation, there is no key event in the calendar. Personal spending recorded a gain of 0.4%, exceeding the previous estimate of 0.3%. On Wednesday, US will unveil two key events - ISM non-manufacturing PMI and ADP nonfarm employment change.

Gold prices continue to move higher this week, as the soft US GDP report has weighed on market sentiment. Preliminary GDP for the second quarter disappointed, as markets had expected a strong gain of 2.6%, while the economy responded with a much smaller gain of 1.2%. It seems less likely a hike in September rates given recent economic data. On Sunday, the FOMC William Dudley, a close ally of Janet Yellen, said the fallout Brexit posed a risk to the US economy and urged the Fed to proceed with caution before raising interest rates. The USA. will release the growth of wages and nonfarm payrolls later in the week, and these key employment figures will be closely monitored by the Fed as it ponders a possible rate hike. Markets have turned September and December as the most likely date for rate hike, but if the Fed is not satisfied with the performance of the economy, which could delay any move until 2017.

The manufacturing sector has been one of the weaknesses of the US economy, and the week began with warm production numbers. Manufacturing ISM manufacturing PMI and prices pointed to a slight expansion, but both indicators fell short of its estimates. An ongoing global economic slump has taken a toll on the manufacturing sectors of developed economies, and the US is no exception. At the same time, prices of Construction disappointed with a drop of 0.6%, its fourth decline in the past five months.

/ USD WTI Basics
Tuesday (August 2)

8:30 Price Index US PCE Core. 0.1% estimate. Current 0.1%
8:30 Personal Spending United States. 0.3% estimate. Current 0.4%
8:30 Personal Income United States. 0.3% estimate. Current 0.2%
All day - US vehicle sales in total. 17.1m estimate
Upcoming key events
On Wednesday (August 3)

8:15 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. 171K estimate
10:00 ISM non-manufacturing PMI. 56.0 estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD on Tuesday, August 2, 2016

Gold Little Changed after Positive US Employment Report

Unknown 9:44 AM Forex No comments

Gold has posted small losses on Wednesday as metal industries at a price of $ 1,358.23 cash per ounce in the North American session. On the front release, ADP Nonfarm Payrolls improved to 179,000, exceeding the estimate. ISM non-manufacturing PMI stood at 55.5, below expectations. On Thursday, US releases jobless claims with the estimate standing at 265,000.

Gold prices remain at high levels, as the soft US GDP report has weighed on the US dollar. Preliminary GDP for the second quarter disappointed, as markets had expected a strong gain of 2.6%, while the economy responded with a much smaller gain of 1.2%. On Wednesday, the US releases were a mixed bag. July employment figures started on the right foot, as ADP Nonfarm Payrolls improved to 179,000, beating the estimate of 171,000. However, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI disappointed, as the index fell to 55.5 points, missing the estimate of 56.0 points. On Thursday, we will take a look at unemployment claims, followed by non-farm payrolls important on Thursday. strong readings could renew speculation of a rate hike in September. Market sentiment has deteriorated in the US dollar since the GDP report last week, since the gain of 1.2% was well below the forecast of an increase of 2.6%. Markets have turned September and December as the most likely date for rate hike, but if the Fed is not satisfied with the performance of the economy, which could delay any move until 2017.

Interest rates are closely linked to the movement of gold because the metal tends to rise when rates are reduced. This means that traders should be prepared for possible volatility on Thursday as the Bank of England meets for a political meeting. The Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates in order to dampen the aftermath of Brexit. The Bank of England surprised markets in July when rates stood at 0.50%, but faces losing its credibility if it stays out again. The bank has not lowered rates since 2009, so despite a rate cut has been priced in, such a drastic measure could shake markets and give gold prices a boost.

/ USD XAU Basics
On Wednesday (August 3)

8:15 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. 171K estimate. Real 179K
10:00 ISM non-manufacturing PMI. 56.0 estimate. 55.5 reais
9:45 Final Services PMI US. 51.0 estimate. 51.4 reais
10:00 ISM non-manufacturing PMI. 56.0 estimate. 55.5 reais
10:30 oil inventories US. -1.6M Estimate. Real + 1.4M
Thursday (August 4)

8:30 jobless claims US. 265K estimate
* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold
* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD on Wednesday August 3, 2016

Gold Forecast for Second Half of 2016 – Trends And Expectations

Unknown 9:41 AM Forex No comments

Gold up 21 percent since the start of 2016

Gold reacts to key US economic indicators

Gold closely linked to monetary policy

Weak Chinese / global growth in the first quarter increased gold

Geopolitical risks and the US presidential election important factors in the price movement

XAU / USD - 2016 Review and Forecast

Gold (XAU / USD) has accumulated impressive gains of 21 percent in the first half of 2016. Gold may be hard-pressed to repeat this feat in the next six months, but the outlook for gold remains positive, with the trade expected metal in the range of $ 1300- $ 1400 a year end.

At the beginning of 2016, gold traded at $ 1060, and has not looked back since. Global growth was hit in the first quarter of the year, as China reported a milder growth and therefore weaker demand. This resulted in a weaker first quarter growth in developed economies, particularly the US, the eurozone and Japan. Global markets plunged, and investors flocked to gold Alarmed, which provides a safe haven from market turbulence and volatility. Gold prices rose sharply in the first quarter of 2016, up near the level of $ 1,300 March. Gold is also closely linked to market sentiment regarding interest rate policy. Speculation that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates pushed prices higher gold, but the metal was reduced whenever expectations of a rate hike retreated.

Open: $ 1,061.12 (January 1)

High: $ 1,374.79 (July 10)

Low: $ 1,060.54 (January 1)

Close: $ 1,335.97 (August 8)

Expectations Gold for June-December 2016

Economic Indicators US

key US indicators can have a strong impact on currency markets and commodities. Gold is no exception, as economic publications, missing expectations tend to cause uncertainty about the strength of the economy and often result in gold prices moving higher. By contrast, strong economic data may lead investors feel risk assets more convenient shopping, at the expense of gold, a traditional safe haven asset. key releases such as GDP, nonagricultural employment and CPI can have a strong impact on the movement of gold. The US economy softened in the first quarter, and this boosted gold prices. If the main economic indicators show a strong improvement, gold prices could soften.

US monetary policy

For nearly a decade, the US Federal Reserve kept rates near zero. However, that trend ended in December 2015, when the Fed raised the benchmark rate to 0.25%. Gold prices are closely linked to interest rates moves. A rise in interest rates makes the dollar more attractive to Gold Coast, which offers no interest. Conversely, a fall in the rate is bullish for gold. The first half of 2016 has been marked by ongoing speculation over whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates. Statements by Fed Chairman Janet Yellen and other Fed officials are closely watched by the markets. Statements that are hardliners and allusion to a rise in interest rates often push gold lower, while moderate messages from the Fed often increase gold prices. In December, the Fed hinted that it could raise rates three or four times the rate of this year, however, we are here in June, mid-year, no rate hikes so far in 2016. The most likely dates for the next hike is in July or September, but the Fed is unlikely to make a move if the employment indicators and inflation show no signs of improvement. Given that the Fed is willing to not surprise the markets with a rate hike, and any movement is likely to be increases of a quarter point only, gold response to a rate hike could be limited.

China

China is the world's second largest economy and a key trading partner for the US, Japan and the euro zone. The Chinese economy has contracted for six years and a sharp slowdown in the first quarter of 2o16 had serious repercussions on global markets, as lower Chinese demand negatively affected the developed economies, particularly the manufacturing and export. In a June report, the OECD has forecast that China's economy will grow 6.5% in 2016 and fall to 6.2% in 2017. China's growth will remain weak clouding the global economic outlook, and could signal more gains for gold.

world growth

Global growth was hit in the first quarter as the slowdown in China and developing economies hurt economies around the world. The global economy remains fragile, and the World Bank has lowered its forecast for global economic growth. Last week, the agency revised its growth forecast of 2.4 percent in 2016, compared with a profit of 2.9 percent is projected in January. The developed economies such as the euro area and Japan are facing weak growth and low inflation, while developing economies have been affected by the low prices of raw materials such as oil. weak global growth could be a boon for gold as safe haven assets continues to attract investors who have little appetite for risk in these uncertain economic conditions.

Geopolitical tensions

Geopolitical considerations play an important role in the price of raw materials such as gold. In times of uncertainty or crisis, investors often respond by dumping high-risk assets (such as minor currencies) and buying gold a safe haven asset. There is no shortage of potential shocks in the geopolitical sphere. Tensions continue between China and the US on claims of sovereignty by China in the South Pacific. Russia and Europe are at odds over the annexation of parts of Ukraine by Russia, and the ongoing war with ISIS in Iraq and Syria is another hot spot. In turn, referenda and elections worldwide add uncertainty and volatility in global markets. Notable events include the upcoming British referendum on EU membership and the US presidential election in November, which could lead to major changes in US policy as the Obama years come to an end. At the same time, one must remember that more often than not, the markets respond to such events with volatility for only a short period; this can create opportunities for traders, butgeopolitical events are unlikely to have a lasting effect on gold prices, you can nail or decrease after a particular event, only to return to previous levels.

XAU/USD – Gold Edges Higher as US Productivity Declines

Unknown 9:35 AM Forex No comments

Gold has posted small gains on Tuesday, after a listless session Mondays. In the North American session, the pair is trading at $ 1341.19. On the front of liberation, which remains a quiet week. the numbers of the United States were a mixture. Preliminary Nonfarm Productivity disappointed with a decline of 0.5%, while labor costs Unit won preliminary 2.0%, above the estimate.

It's the US economy on the rebound? employment figures US sparkled on Friday, led by the change in nonfarm employment. The July report surprised markets with a huge gain of 255,000 crush the estimate of 180 thousand. This release follows the June reading of 280 000 outstanding. Wage growth in the US has been a weak point in the labor market robust, but there was positive news as average hourly earnings increased 0.3%, exceeding the previous forecast of 0.2%. In turn, unemployment claims remained stable at 4.9%. What will the Fed do with these numbers? Before launching payroll, up September it was virtually off the table, especially in light of the soft US GDP report in late July. The Fed has made no secret of the fact that any movement of rates will be dependent on the data, and numbers of stellar work force the Fed to think seriously about a movement in September. US employment and inflation releases in the coming weeks will be critical factors in determining whether the Fed makes a move next month, or rates again in December. As gold prices are closely linked to interest rate moves, continuing speculation about a rate move could lead to volatility in gold prices.

/ USD XAU Basics

Tuesday (August 9)

10:00 Business Index US NFIB Small. 94.5 estimate. 94.6 reais

8:30 US Nonfarm Productivity preliminary. Estimate 0.5%

8:30 unit cost of US preliminary labor. Estimate 1.8%

10:00 IBD / TIPP economic optimism. 46.2 estimate. 48.4 reais

10:00 US wholesale inventories. 0.0% estimate. Current 0.3%

* Key Announcements are highlighted in bold

* All times are EDT release

XAU / USD for Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Asia Market Roundup: Platinum Higher?

Unknown 9:31 AM Forex No comments

Poor data from China begins alleviate rumors and a rotation at risk on. Bullish technical set-up in the Platinum area.
Neither of my two favorite precious metal has had a great day in Asia today. Platinum is 2.60% on the day. Palladium all its manifestations Wednesday unwinds in abruptly, plunging 4.35%. I have to go away and think about the latter ...

Like Wednesday it seems that there is no single factor that drives the movement. Liquidity as always plays its part in Asia. Japan has also returned from vacation today, and may be more than coincidence that both co-recovered Wednesday in Asia only to be sold strongly in Asia today.

A "risk on" today buoyant market values and a concentration of oil remain cheerful in the Asian session. Certainly I have my doubts as to the longevity bullish oils much as I did the New Zealand Dollar ability to sustain a significant selloff in a world of zero percent. (See previous articles)

The main reason I suspect is very disappointing data from China today. Both industrial production and retail sales came out on as expected.

- Industrial production (CN) CHINA July M T / M: 0.5% V 0.5% prior; A / A: 6.0% V 6.2% E; YTD A / A: 6.0% V 6.0% E
- (NC) CHINA RETAIL SALES July M / M: 0.8% V 0.9% prior; A / A 10.2% 10.3% V E; YTD A / A 10.3% 10.3% V E
Source: Trade News

Not the bit "as expected" that has the market nervous. The street was looking for the positive numbers to offset a growing concern that the slowdown in China is accelerating, and its target of 6.5% of GDP is in doubt. We all love a good rumor of a Friday and the market required a lot of talk circulating that China could introduce quantitative easing, etc, etc, etc to keep the lights on economically.

This has been a short-term pivot "at risk" negotiation and out of "off risk" with the carry trade as NZDJPY, AUDJPY, USDJPY even high all day. Stock Indices and oil and copper have all the good days as well as Asia keeps a sugar rush to China. As a result, gold, silver, platinum and palladium are overdrawn to varying degrees.

Platinum
Leaving the noise of the day despite Platinum continues to show a very interesting and potentially very bullish technically set in the daily and weekly charts. It seems to be the consolidation of a formation of inverse head and shoulders very large, which, if correct, points to a substantial upturn ahead.

The neckline of platinum is in the area of 1115, and this is now the daily and weekly support. And a weekly newspaper and a break below the consolidation of void formation.

As I said before, it is not typically a period of consolidation above the neckline after a break. Platinum has been doing this for the last two weeks very well. As shown in the graph of the distance from the head to the neckline it is $ 305.60. Therefore from a technical perspective Platinum should soon start raising their merry way to a target of 1415.60. (1110 being the pause)

US Consumer Comes Under the Microscope

Unknown 9:28 AM Forex No comments

One day after the three major indexes closed at highs, futures point to a relatively flat opening on Wall Street as attention focuses on the US consumer ahead of retail sales figures and feeling.

It has been a quiet week so far, but we finally had an influx of data from China and Europe and there is still more to come from the US .. Data from China overnight covering retail sales, investment in fixed assets and industrial production disappointed in all areas, below expectations and raising concerns about slowing growth. However, markets across Asia ended the week on a positive note as the weakness in the data simply fueled speculation that policy makers will jump to the rescue again with further stimulus measures.

EUR / USD - The euro listless after German GDP meets expectations

This feeling did not spread to Europe, where despite rates hover around yesterday's closing levels had not cowered in the GDP data of the euro area. The German economy expanded at a much faster than expected pace in the second quarter, recording an annual growth of 3.1%, more than double the consensus forecast. This more than offset the disappointing numbers from Italy, which continues to deal with a banking crisis is a major drag on the economy. The euro area as a whole grew in line with market expectations largely outside shrunk.

AUD / USD - Australian dollar holding key model Before Retails US and CPI

The American consumer will be under the spotlight now, with data retail sales due out July before the opening followed by UoM consumer sentiment reading shortly thereafter. The consumer is of enormous importance to the US economy so this data is always analyzed more than most others. It's been a couple of good months for the consumer and is expected to have expanded in June, with sales seen rising 0.4%. If sentiment rises to 91.5 in August, as expected, this would suggest that the boost to consumer spending is not likely to ease off in the coming months. This is something special attention to the Fed also lends, up this year remains largely cards, especially as the labor market continues to perform well.

Friday, August 12, 2016

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Unknown 6:49 AM Templates For No Experience No comments

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Unknown 6:48 AM Bpm Training No comments

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Unknown 6:47 AM Speed Test No comments

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With this in mind we’re looking at the Sony Xperia Z5 Compact vs iPhone 6S in a bootup speed test. We’ve previously shown a Sony … of the Sony Xperia Z5 Compact vs iPhone 6S. Do feel free to drop us your comments in the box below.

Monday, August 15, 2016

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